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About me


I'm Brendan Loy, a 26-year-old graduate of USC and Notre Dame now living and working in Knoxville, Tennessee. My wife Becky and I are brand-new parents of a beautiful baby girl, born on New Year's Eve.

I'm a big-time sports fan, a politics, media & law junkie, an astronomy buff, a weather nerd, an Apple aficionado, a Lord of the Rings and Harry Potter fanatic, and an all-around dork. My blog is best-known for its coverage of Hurricane Katrina, but I blog about anything and everything that interests me.

You can contact me at irishtrojan [at] gmail.com, or donate to my "tip jar" by clicking the link below:

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Pajamas Media BlogRoll Member

Spaceflight

Shuttle & ISS Wednesday night

By Brendan Loy

Assuming the Space Shuttle Discovery undocks as scheduled from the International Space Station at 7:33 AM EDT tomorrow (i.e., Wednesday) morning, there will be an opportunity tomorrow night for folks in parts of the southeastern U.S. to see the Shuttle and ISS flying overhead side-by-side.

Here in Knoxville, the 9:04 PM EDT flyover is just 11 minutes after sunset, so I'm not sure how visible the spacecrafts -- particularly the dimmer Shuttle -- will be. Certainly, there won't be much to see if you're west of Knoxville; the sky will be too bright. But the further east you go, the darker the sky will be at the requisite time. Thus, both the Shuttle and ISS should be easily visible in places that are east of Knoxville and reasonably close to the black line below:

Issmapjune11web

Along the Carolina and Georgia coasts, all across the Florida peninsula, and in the Bahamas, the view should be stunning, weather permitting. As I've said before: "Trust me: even if you're not into dorky stuff like Iridium flares, this is well worth a trip outside at the proper time, if the sky is clear." The sight of "two distinct, bright dots, moving briskly across the evening sky in tandem -- two unmistakable beacons of the human presence in space" is "a really neat thing to see."

You can use Heavens-Above to check the specific viewing conditions for your location. If you're in the U.S., just click here and enter the name of your city or town, then select it from the resulting list of locales. On the screen that follows, click on "10 day predictions for: ISS" and look for an evening flyover on June 11 (or for that matter, June 12 or 13). If you're outside the U.S., select your country here and then follow the same steps.

It's a shame the flyover is so close to sunset here in Knoxville, because from this location, the spacecrafts' path takes them right past Mars, Saturn and the Moon:

Continue reading "Shuttle & ISS Wednesday night" »

McCain: Let's go to Mars

By Brendan Loy

In an obvious and blatant attempt to shore up the crucial Space-Obsessed Law Professors With Highly Trafficked Blogs voting bloc, John McCain said yesterday he would like to put a man on Mars.

Sounds good to me, but what I want to know is, will we do the other things?

P.S. In other John McCain-related news, he's apparently trying to fight off the "age issue" by making references that the youngsters of today will understand -- like, for instance, comparing Obama to William Jennings Bryan.

The year was eighteen ninety-six, and John McCain was just sixteen...

:)

P.P.S. And yet more McCain-related news: he's released his first general-election ad, in which he states: "Only a fool or a fraud talks tough or romantically about war. ... I hate war. And I know how terrible its costs are."

TPM's Greg Sargent says "McCain is using his bio to achieve separation from George W. Bush," suggesting that "even if he's continuing Bush's war policies, he's different from Dubya in that he understands the costs in a way that Bush never did." The subtext, Sargent writes, is: "Even if that reckless chicken-hawk took us to war, someone who actually understands and has experienced the costs of war -- someone you can actually believe -- is here to tell you that we must continue it."

So, to review: John McCain hates war, yet he wants to send a man to Mars, a planet which is named after... war. :)

UPDATE: Glenn links here, and says of my above joke, "somehow the Obama backers manage to make everything about Iraq... Heh." Hey, now! What's this about "Obama backers"? I know it might be hard to believe, given my blog's recent focus, but I repeat:

I am undecided. In fact, if you put a gun to my head right now and made me choose, I think -- *think* -- I'd vote for McCain. But it's really entirely up in the air how I'll vote in November. I like and admire Obama, but that doesn't mean I think he'd make the best president. The best Democratic nominee, yes, but that's only because his opponent is such a lying, conniving, deceitful [bad word]. Against McCain, he doesn't have such an obvious "character" advantage (both candidates are, as best as I can tell, generally good, decent and honest, though of course not pure or perfect), and I'm not at all sure who I think is, on balance, better on policy.

If that confuses you, consider this: "The portion of my brain that views politics as a sport can't help 'rooting' for Obama (he's exciting! he's inspiring! he's shiny!), [but] the rational part of my brain, which governs my actual vote, is totally undecided between Obama and McCain." Obama is the scrappy mid-major going up against the staid, boring, established program; he's Boise State against Oklahoma ("They said this day would never come: a WAC team in a BCS bowl! Yes, we can!"), he's Appalachian State against Michigan, he's Davidson against Kansas. Or, as McCain might prefer to say, he's Hawaii against Georgia. :) The point is, he's fun to root for, and that fact bleeds over into my blog coverage. (Also, my blog coverage has just been generally Dem-dominated because that contest has been much more exciting since late January.) Moreover, it's fun to poke fun at John McCain because, you know, he's old. (In fairness, I've also poked fun at Obama for being messianic and cultish. Whee, humor is fun!) But none of that necessarily means that I support Obama, because in the end, politics isn't a sport, and voting isn't about "rooting" or making jokes, it's about deciding the future of the country. So yes, I'm undecided. Really.

P.P.P.S. Speaking of the Red Planet, Andrew Sullivan this morning posted a picture from 2005 of Sunset on Mars. He should have included it in his "The View From Your Window" series!

Alien fever grips Denver

By Brendan Loy

Not illegal aliens, mind you. Space aliens:

A video that purportedly shows a living, breathing space alien will be shown to the news media Friday in Denver.

But enough about Dennis Kucinich.

The Phoenix has landed

By Brendan Loy

NASA's latest Mars probe touched down successfully today.

Speaking of the Shuttle...

By Brendan Loy

Heh.

Space Shuttle blasts off

By Brendan Loy

The Space Shuttle Endeavour's wee-hours launch was a success. Endeavour is scheduled for the longest Shuttle mission ever, 16 days. I hope the crew members aren't hoops fans! They're going to miss Selection Sunday and the always-exciting opening weekend of the tourney! :)

Anyway, the Shuttle is scheduled to dock with the ISS late tomorrow night, and undock on Monday the 24th at 7:55 PM EDT. There will be an excellent viewing opportunity here in Knoxville about 24 hours after the time of scheduled undocking, so hopefully everything stays on schedule this time.

Shuttle liftoff tonight

By Brendan Loy

The Space Shuttle Endeavour is scheduled to blast off in less than six hours, at 2:28 AM EDT.

BOOM!

By Brendan Loy

The military has released video of the spy satellite's fuel tank exploding upon impact from the missile. w00t!

You can watch it on YouTube, via Fox News, here, or download the military's video in WMV form here. (Hat tip: SpaceWeather.)

Also, here's another picture of falling debris from the satellite shoot-down.

A couple of stories about people witnesing re-entering satellite debris, from MSNBC and Space.com.

And, you know that incredible photo of satellite debris & the eclipsed moon that I posted early this morning? Well, it made the local news out in Oregon.

Speaking of the eclipse, here's an awesome shot of the International Space Station in front of the partially eclipsed Moon!

Check out this stunning eclipse photo, too. It was taken in Hamedan, Iran.

This long-exposure shot is neat, too. More here.

A lunar eclipse and a manmade meteor

By Brendan Loy

Weird things happen during total lunar eclipses. Two eclipses ago, during totality, the Red Sox won their first World Series since 1918. Last night, also during totality, the Navy shot a freakin' missile at a freakin' satellite and blew it out of the sky.

Speaking of which: an Oregon-based blogger named Sherry Holub, a.k.a. "scorpy808," managed, incredibly, to capture a photo of what was almost certainly a piece of that spy satellite burning up on re-entry into the atmosphere -- right next to the eclipsed moon in the sky. Here it is:

Wow. Totally awesome. I'm so jealous. :)

(Republished with Holub's permission. In addition to her LiveJournal blog, she also runs a company called JV Media Design.)

Missile hits satellite; Earth eclipses Moon

By Brendan Loy

It's a hit! The missile hit the spy satellite! No further details are available yet. [UPDATE, 12:05 AM: According to the AP, "In a statement announcing that the Navy missile struck the satellite, the Pentagon said, 'Confirmation that the fuel tank has been fragmented should be available within 24 hours.' It made no mention of early indications, but a defense official close to the situation said later that officials monitoring the collision saw what appeared to be an explosion, indicating that the fuel tank was hit."]

Folks on the west coast and in Canada: Did you see anything unusual in the sky -- like a "swarm of meteors", perhaps?

[UPDATE, 12:25 AM: Blogger "scorpy808" captured what appears to be a photo of the eclipsed Moon with a piece of re-entering satellite debris right next to it!. OMG! Awesome! (I found this by searching Google Blog Search for the word "satellite" and the phrase "I saw.") And here is another possible sighting report. Not to mention Lisa's in comments!]

Back here in the southeast, the only thing unusual in the sky right now is a very reddish moon, which is just starting to show a sliver of white on the lower right edge as it begins to emerge from the Earth's umbra. As I mentioned below, the clouds eventually cleared and Becky, Loyette and I were able to see it. Well... Loyette may not have seen it, per se, but she was in its presence, anyway. :)

Here's a photo I took of the eclipse at 10:45 PM:

That's Saturn at the bottom of the photo, and the star Regulus at the top.

UPDATE: Here's a wider view, taken at 10:56. The clouds appear orange due to the Greater Knoxville light dome:

Reader Ken Wagner sends along eclipse photos from Nashville. Thanks, Ken! Others' photos can be found here and here.

Shuttle lands; satellite shot uncertain

By Brendan Loy

The Space Shuttle Atlantis landed safely in Florida this morning, clearing the way for the Navy to proceed with plans to shoot down the errant spy satellite as early as tonight. But those plans could be delayed by weather:

Navy gunners in the Pacific were watching the sea and sky Wednesday, waiting for perfect conditions to take a kill shot on an errant satellite 150 miles above them.

They have just a 10-second window to fire, a Pentagon official said, and may not be able to take their shot on their first opportunity at 10:30 p.m. ET Wednesday.

"It's not enough to say 'no,' but we're watching the weather," the official told reporters at the Pentagon. "It's on the margin."

The cruiser USS Lake Erie will get one 10-second window each of the next nine or 10 days to fire an interceptor missile that will destroy the faltering spy satellite before it can tumble to Earth and -- possibly -- release a cloud of toxic gas. ...

[S]wells in the Pacific Ocean west of Hawaii [are] running slightly higher than [the] Navy would like.

The National Weather Service forecast 12- to 15-foot seas west of Hawaii Wednesday with a storm developing in the area.

The United States plans to spend up to $60 million to try to destroy the satellite even though there is only a remote possibility the satellite could fall to Earth, survive re-entry and spew toxic gas in a populated area, said James Jeffrey, deputy national security adviser.

   "The regret factor of not acting clearly outweighed the regret factor of acting," he said.

Either that, or this is a convenient opportunity to get away with doing a missile test, as some have speculated.

A fireball, a spy satellite, and an eclipse

By Brendan Loy

Did any readers up in the Northwest (i.e., Washington, Oregon, Idaho or Montana) happen to see the fireball yesterday morning at around 5:30 AM? (Video here; lots of local news articles here). I'd love to see one of those someday...

Speaking of skywatching events, don't forget about the total lunar eclipse tonight. Mid-totality, at 10:26 PM EST, will be visible all across the 48 contiguous states. And those in the Pacific Northwest may also want to keep a weather eye to the western sky right around then -- i.e., approx. 7:30ish local time -- because, as I mentioned yesterday, they might be able to see some spy-satellite fragments streaking across the sky. Just call it Fireball Country!

Satellite shoot-down set for Thursday Wednesday night during lunar eclipse, southwest of Hawaii

By Brendan Loy

The Navy will try to shoot down the errant spy satellite on Thursday, assuming the Space Shuttle lands as planned on Wednesday.

UPDATE: According to SpaceWeather.com, the attempt will actually be Wednesday night here in North America, which is early Thursday morning Greenwich Mean Time. Here's what SpaceWeather says:

Rumor has it that the US Navy may make its first attempt to hit USA 193 this Wednesday evening as the satellite passes over the Pacific Ocean. An air traffic advisory warns pilots to avoid a patch of ocean near Maui from 4:30 p.m. to 7:00 p.m. Hawaii time on Feb. 20th (0230 - 0500 UT, Feb. 21st). This would center the missile strike on the darkness of Wednesday's lunar eclipse and possibly render reentering debris visible from the west coast of North America.

So there you go. From the linked map, it appears that the actual shoot-down attempt will originate a bit to the southwest of the Hawaiian islands, and will occur shortly before 5:30 PM Hawaii time (7:30 Pacific, 10:30 Eastern). If the satellite were to continue on its orbital path, its track would take it up over southern British Columbia a few minutes later, so assuming that any re-entering debris roughly follows the momentum of the satellite's track (which seems like it would be the case), the Pacific Northwest may have the best chance of seeing re-entering debris tomorrow night.

Incidentally, about that total lunar eclipse: mid-eclipse is at 10:26 PM EST. Here's a map showing the eclipse's visibility. Practically all of North America can see it.

Anyway, back to the spy satellite: according to this site, a second air-traffic advisory suggests the military has plans for a second shoot-down attempt Thursday night -- same time, same place -- if the Wednesday attempt fails.

Continue reading "Satellite shoot-down set for Thursday Wednesday night during lunar eclipse, southwest of Hawaii" »

It's a bird, it's a plane...

By Brendan Loy

Sky-watchers in the southeast and southwest, don't forget about the ISS/Shuttle flyover tonight.

UPDATE: We drove out to a spot with a clear western horizon and watched for the ISS and Shuttle. But we only saw one dot in the sky, not two. I guess they must still have been really close together, so they weren't distinguishable.

Shuttle-ISS sky show delayed to Monday

By Brendan Loy

According to Reuters, the scheduled undocking between the Space Shuttle Atlantis and the International Space Station is now set for 4:26 AM EST on Monday. That's almost 24 hours later than the 6:35 AM Sunday undocking time that's stated in master flight plan.

This means the aforeblogged Sunday-night sky show will be far less spectacular than I had hoped. The Shuttle and ISS will both be visible, of course, but they'll be indistinguishable from one another to the naked eye, appearing as a single dot rather than two points of light trailing each other across the sky. They won't look much different than a standard ISS-only flyover, which, while still pretty cool, is a commonplace occurrence.

Monday night is a different story, though. Alas, here in Knoxville, the view won't be nearly as good as it would have been Sunday if the schedule had stayed in place (though it's really a moot point anyway, since it didn't look like the weather was going to cooperate), but it'll be a spectacular view in New Orleans, Los Angeles, and a bunch of other places. Here are Monday night's flyover tracks, courtesy of Heavens Above:

Again, for local details, go to Heavens Above.

Sunday-night sky show

By Brendan Loy

If the current mission schedule for the Space Shuttle Atlantis remains unchanged, much of the continental U.S. will have an opportunity to watch the Shuttle and the International Space Station fly overhead Sunday night as two distinct, bright dots, moving briskly across the evening sky in tandem -- two unmistakable beacons of the human presence in space. Just over 12 hours removed from their Sunday-morning undocking, they should be a very cool sight to behold.

Trust me: even if you're not into dorky stuff like Iridium flares, this is well worth a trip outside at the proper time, if the sky is clear. (And you don't need to be in a low-light-pollution location to see them. They're very bright. So long as you're not standing, like, directly under a streetlight or something, you should be able to see them, even from downtown in a major city. Basically, if you can see Venus, you can see the ISS and Shuttle.)

There are two viewing opportunities for the U.S. on Sunday evening: the first between 6:57 and 7:04 PM EST -- visible from much of the eastern half of the country -- and the second from 8:27 to 8:35 PM EST (that's 6:27-6:35 MST) -- visible from most of the Mountain Time Zone, and parts of the Central and Western time zones as well.

To find out if and when the flyovers will be visible from your particular location, go to Heavens-Above and select your location. When you get to the "Main Menu," click on "10 day predictions for: ISS" and look for the "17 Feb" entry (or entries) on the list. Click on it (or them), and you'll get all your local details, including precisely when and where in the sky to look. (The Shuttle will either be just behind the ISS or just ahead of it; I'm not sure which.)

Basically, though, the closer you are to the black lines in these graphics, the better your potential view is, provided it's after local sunset when the flyover occurs:

Don't pay much attention to the red circles; they just show the extent of potential satellite visibility, down to 10 degrees above the horizon, from the central location on each map. The circles would look different from other spots and at other times along the satellite's path. So what you really want to focus on is the black line, and how close you are to it. The closer you are, the brighter and more directly overhead the satellites will be. (Again, the other issue is the timing of sunset; the Pacific coast won't get a good view because the sun will still be up.)

But really, don't bother trying to speculate based on those maps -- seriously, just go to Heavens-Above and get the details for your specific location. :)

Here in Knoxville, we're pretty darn close to the black line for the earlier flyover, and as a result, we get a really great view: the ISS will have a magnitude of -2.1 (lower magnitudes are brighter; -2.1 is brighter than anything in the night sky except Venus and the Moon) and will reach an altitude of 67 degrees at 6:59:54 PM EST. Oh, and it'll pass directly through Orion about 35 seconds later.

(Unfortunately, the weather forecast for Knoxville looks less than promising at the moment. I hope it changes!)

The view is even better from Nashville, which is almost literally right on the center line, so there the ISS will reach an max altitude of 85° -- and a stunning magnitude of -2.5 -- at 5:59:23 PM CST.

A few other potential locations of interest to Irish Trojan readers: Phoenix (magnitude -1.9, altitude 39° in the NE sky at 6:30:38 MST), Denver (magnitude -0.3, altitude 28° in the SW sky at 6:30:37 MST), South Bend (magnitude -0.6, altitude 33° in the SW sky at 6:58:28 EST), Memphis (magnitude -2.1, altitude 46° in the NE sky at 5:59:00 CST), Atlanta (magnitude -2.5, altitude 74°, almost directly overhead -- right near Mars -- at 7:00:14 EST), Indianapolis (magnitude -1.3, altitude 45° in the SW sky at 6:58:49 EST), St. Louis (magnitude -2.5, altitude 88°, directly overhead at 5:58:22 CST, which is 17 minutes after local sunset), Washington, D.C. (a comparatively dim magnitude 0.4, altitude 19 in the SW sky at 7:00:17 EST; Virginia suburbs will be marginally better).

Oh, and in Southern California, although both of the flyovers mentioned here will occur before local sunset, you may be able to catch a glimpse in the southwestern sky (max altitude 19°) of the next flyover, over the Pacific Ocean, at 7:05 PM PST. The magnitude will only be 0.3, though, a little dimmer than Mars, so light pollution could be a problem.

Anyway... all of this is subject to change, particularly the precise schedule details, if the ISS's orbit gets tweaked a bit between now and then. Also, the undocking schedule could change; if it's delayed, and thus the Shuttle is still docked on Sunday night, then it and the ISS will appear as a single bright dot moving across the sky, which, while still pretty cool, is a much more commonplace occurrence.

However, assuming the undocking schedule remains relatively unchanged, I highly encourage everybody in range of this flyover to check it out Sunday night.

U.S. aims to shoot down errant satellite

By Brendan Loy

Remember the spy satellite that's falling out of orbit and is expected to hit Earth soon? Well, President Bush wants to shoot it out of the sky:

The Pentagon, under orders from President Bush, is planning to shoot down a broken spy satellite expected to hit the Earth in early March, the White House said Thursday.

U.S. officials said that the option preferred by the administration will be to fire a missile from a U.S. Navy cruiser, and shoot down the satellite before it enters Earth's atmosphere. ...

The disabled satellite is expected to hit the Earth the first week of March. Officials said the Navy would likely shoot it down before then, using a special missile modified for the task.

It's interesting that they want to shoot it down before re-entry -- which will create inevitable controversy, given that we condemned the Chinese for doing something similar last year -- when, according to satellite expert James Lewis, another option would be to try and use the Missile Defense System to destroy the satellite just as it begins to re-enter the atmosphere. That would be far less controversial (and would eliminate the "space junk" problem), but I'm guessing the odds of success are lower. In other words, reading the tea leaves, it certainly doesn't sound like the government has much faith in the Missile Defense System, at least as regards its ability to pull off a mission like this one.

Anyway...

Continue reading "U.S. aims to shoot down errant satellite" »

Shuttle in orbit; visible with ISS next weekend

By Brendan Loy

I somehow missed this, but the Space Shuttle Atlantis blasted off yesterday for a planned 12-day mission. The schedule calls for Atlantis to dock with the International Space Station tomorrow, and remain docked until 6:35 AM EST next Saturday, February 16.

That timetable creates the potential for some awesome spaceship-gazing opportunities in the continental U.S. next weekend, as the ISS is scheduled to make three separate evening passes over our neck of the woods shortly after undocking -- on the 16th around 6:40 PM and again around 8:15 PM, and on the 17th around 7:00 PM. If past experience serves, the ISS and Shuttle will at that point be visible as separate dots traveling side-by-side through the sky, and will be very, very cool to see. You can bet I'll be keeping you updated as those viewing opportunities get closer, assuming the schedule holds.

To find out when you can see the Shuttle and ISS from your location (including some more immediate viewing opportunities while they're docked), as well as other satellites, Iridium flares, and so forth, go to Heavens Above.

Disabled satellite tumbles toward Earth

By Brendan Loy

Somebody call Bruce Willis:

A 10-ton American spy satellite has lost power and could hit the Earth in the next few weeks, government officials said today.

The satellite, which no longer can be controlled, could contain hazardous materials, and it is unknown where on the planet it might come down, they said. ...

[Gordon Johndroe, a spokesman for the National Security Council, said,] "Numerous satellites over the years have come out of orbit and fallen harmlessly. We are looking at potential options to mitigate any possible damage this satellite may cause."

He would not comment on whether it is possible for the satellite to perhaps be shot down by a missile. He said it would be inappropriate to discuss any specifics at this time.

A senior government official said that lawmakers and other nations are being kept apprised of the situation. ...

[John] Pike, director of the defense research group GlobalSecurity.org, estimated that the spacecraft weighs about 10 tons and was the size of a small bus.

See also here.

Shuttle launch delayed by faulty sensor

By Brendan Loy

Today's planned launch of the Space Shuttle Atlantis has been scrubbed due to a problem with an external tank sensor. They'll try again tomorrow at 4:09 PM after troubleshooting the sensor.

Today's planned launch of the Space Shuttle Atlantis has been scrubbed due to a problem with an external tank sensor. They'll try again tomorrow at 4:09 PM after troubleshooting the sensor.

Makes me think about how Becky and I have been driving around her Camry -- which has put on about another 11,000 miles since hitting 100,000 four months ago -- with the "Check Engine" light on, apparently because of a faulty sensor, for something like 20 or 25 thousand miles. (We took it into the dealership in South Bend when the light first appeared, and they did all sorts of checks and repairs, but no matter what they did, the light refused to go off and stay off. Eventually we concluded it must be a sensor problem. The car drives fine; no sign of trouble whatsoever, other than the damn light.) I guess this is sort of like that. I suppose the stakes are a bit higher when you're "driving" in outer space, though. :)

Uranus at its biggest and brightest this week

By JLR

I couldn't resist...  That's the actual title of the article found here.

The worst part of this article, though is when the author refers to Uranus as the "second most distant planet in our solar system."

Pluto is not amused.

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