Predictions?
1. What will tonight's Pennsylvania percentages be?
2. On what date will Hillary Clinton drop out of the race?
After the jump, some important dates that might influence people's answers to question #2.
April 22: Pennsylvania (Duh.)
May 3: Guam
May 6: Indiana, North Carolina
May 13: West Virginia
May 20: Kentucky, Oregon
June 1: Puerto Rico
June 3: Montana, South Dakota
July 1: Howard Dean's superdelegate deadline
August 25-28: Democratic National Convention
1. Clinton 53, Obama 46
2. June 6 ("D-Day for Clinton!")
Posted by: Brendan Loy | Apr 22, 2008 3:31:46 PM
I'm feeling Clinton 52, Obama 43.
And Clinton will never leave. She will never die, like some unholy vampiric zombie sucker fish that rises from the grave again and again, sucking the life out of all around her. Hasn't this primary season taught us that much?
Posted by: B. Minich | Apr 22, 2008 3:36:00 PM
1. Clinton 55 Obama 45
2. August 27, 2008.
Posted by: Doug Mataconis | Apr 22, 2008 3:39:13 PM
clinton 55, Obama 41
Clinton will drop out on May 22.
Posted by: john | Apr 22, 2008 3:49:07 PM
Clinton 51%, Obama 48%
Hillary Clinton won't drop out. She will take it to the Convention. She will be named VP. The Dream Team ticket will win. Sometime in 2010, Barack Obama will have a "Vince Foster/Ron Brown" combo. Hillary will go on TV and make a speech. The speech is short. But it's the most rousing speech you've ever read. It's been worked on, here and in Russia, on and off, for over eight years. Hillary will really hit those microphones and those cameras with blood all over her, fighting off anyone who tries to help her, defending America even if it means her own death, rallying a nation of television viewers to hysteria, to sweep her and Bill into the White House with powers that will make martial law seem like anarchy!
Posted by: Mad Max, Esquire | Apr 22, 2008 3:59:37 PM
1. Clinton 54, Obama 45.
2. I think this is going all the way to Denver.
Posted by: Alec | Apr 22, 2008 4:00:33 PM
Mad Max,
Given your scenario, I can't help but think of Hillary being the Angela Landsbury character in the original version of (and only one worth watching) The Manchurian Candidate.
Posted by: Doug Mataconis | Apr 22, 2008 4:02:30 PM
1. Clinton 52, Obama 45
2. Clinton drops out May 15
Posted by: kcatnd | Apr 22, 2008 4:05:43 PM
1. Clinton 58-42
2. Clinton wins the nomination
Posted by: Gardner | Apr 22, 2008 4:44:44 PM
Clinton 56
Obama 44
Clinton will ride this out as long as possible but I think May 20 is drop out day, after Oregon/Kentucky.
Posted by: Tbone | Apr 22, 2008 4:52:36 PM
fwiw, hillary has been rising on intrade since this morning.
Posted by: yea | Apr 22, 2008 4:57:14 PM
To take the road not taken:
1.Obama: 50
Hillary: 48
2. April 23 (tomorrow)
Bonus prediction: Hillary cries. The only difference is that this time it's not just a political ploy.
Posted by: copndor (the artist formerly known as "Condor") | Apr 22, 2008 5:31:32 PM
Clinton 52
Obama 48
May 16
Oh and can I have some of what Gardner is smoking???
Posted by: David K. | Apr 22, 2008 5:34:38 PM
100% to 0%.
Yesterday.
Posted by: Wishful thinking | Apr 22, 2008 5:38:14 PM
Clinton wins 54-45. It goes to convention, but Obama wins.
Posted by: Ryan | Apr 22, 2008 5:45:55 PM
first exit polls are in... via cnn
Seniors: 61C, 38O
White male: 55C, 45O
Blacks: 8C, 92O
42 percent say US is in serious recession.
obama doing a lot better with seniors that i expected... white males and blacks are about as expected...
Posted by: yea | Apr 22, 2008 5:46:48 PM
drudge has exit poll up now. clinton by 4. assuming that the polls are obama biased as usual, i think we are looking at a 7-8 point clinton win.
Posted by: yea | Apr 22, 2008 5:48:44 PM
another exit poll... not sure how trustworthy this guy is, but he has obama up by 5 with significant disclaimers and light sourcing...
http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=YjhlYzZiYjRhNDI0YTMwYzAxMTQ0NWNhNTQyODc4ZGE=
Posted by: yea | Apr 22, 2008 5:49:36 PM