Updated Bubble Scoresheet

I've updated the Official BrendanLoy.com Bubble Scoresheet to mirror Joe Lunardi's final(?) "Bracket Math" column. Lunardi thinks there are only 12 "true bubble" teams, not 15 as in my earlier scoresheet, and I think he's probably right, so I've moved Kentucky into the "very likely in" column, and Dayton & Ole Miss into the "very likely out" column. I could see either the Flyers or Rebels getting in, or the Wildcats being left out, but it would certainly be a surprise.

The new version of the Scoresheet also displays Lunardi's S-curve rankings, from +6 to +1 (last six in) and from -1 to -6 (last six out). Here's the PDF version, and here's the Word version.

Comments

[Condor]

Holy crap! I can't believe you have the sixth most viewed video on youtube right now.

[Andrew]

Honestly, I would put in Ole Miss before I'd take Kentucky.

[Brendan]

Well, I respect your opinion, Andrew, but I respect Joe Lunardi's more. :P

[Andrew]

Condor, what are you talking about? Link please?

Brendan, if we're talking about what the selection committee is likely to do, sure, Lunardi's probably correct. But I have a problem with Kentucky, and you should too.

Kentucky did terribly out of conference and on the road. Kentucky has a new coach and lost a couple of their best players to injuries. Kentucky got knocked out early in their conference tournament. All of these signs suggest Kentucky will go nowhere once they get into the tournament; they do not add value to the field. If Kentucky were a stock, they'd be Citigroup -- battered down temporarily, but a solid long-term bet. Meanwhile Ole Miss is like Boeing -- they'll give you solid returns this quarter even if their long-term outlook is being battered right now.

[Condor]

Sorry about the link. I guess when I said the sixth most watched video on youtube, I thought people could perform the following calculus:
1. Go to youtube.
2. Click on most viewed.
3. Click on the sixth video.

On second thought, I don't think I'm going to provide a link now.

[Andrew]

Condor, I did just that and I didn't see anything having to do with Brendan.

[Andrew]

Specifically, Condor, when I follow that direction, I get this video. Now, admittedly I didn't watch the entire video to see if Brendan was in it, but I feel pretty sure he's not in there.

[Condor]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u51znupszPw

[Andrew]

Okay Condor, I found the problem: You forgot to say that Brendan has the sixth-most viewed video today. Just a minor, but important, nit.

[Condor]

"I can't believe you have the sixth most viewed video on youtube right now."

Just a minor, but important, nit. If I was referring to the sixth-most viewed video of all time, I would not have said "right now." I would have said, "I can't believe you have the sixth most viewed video on youtube."

[David K.]

Auh contraire Condor, because the order can change, the sixth most view video right now can in fact refer to the sixth most watched video in the "all time" catagory at this moment. I think Andrew is correct in that it should be the sixth most viewed video today in order to be accurate and less confusing. I thought the same thing he did about it being sixth all time.

[Condor]

That doesn't make any sense. For the sixth place video of all time to move, it would either have to gain 7 million views, or the another video would have to gain at minimum 300, 000 views, not likely any time soon since it was added in june. Let's say that some miracle happens and the sixth video shifts in the next month. This would mean that by "now" I'm referring to a month stretch of time plus the time that the sixth place video has been there already. This isn't an ordinary use of "now." It's much more reasonable in ordinary speech situations that "now" refers to a short period of time (minutes or hours) unless stipulated otherwise.