If Memphis & Kansas win...

With Memphis and Kansas leading at halftime by scores of 50-20 and 41-22, respectively -- and with myself being exhausted and about ready to sleep -- I'm going to risk a "Dewey Defeats Truman" moment, assume that both the Tigers and Jayhawks will in fact win, and post the updated pool standings based on that assumption. If either team somehow loses, you may consider this post null and void, and the linked standings inaccurate. :) So, without further ado, my slightly-premature pool update:

Ryan Morgan leads the 13th annual Living Room Times men's basketball pool presented by the UCLA Bruins at the conclusion of the Sweet Sixteen, and would win in 34 of the 128 remaining scenarios. Dan Port and Mark Gardner are tied for second place, and would win in 26 and 11 scenarios, respectively. Eighteen other contestants are still mathematically alive to win the pool, each owning between one and seven possible winning scenarios.

Meanwhile, former leader Khalil Aboukhaled fell from first to fourth place, and was mathematically eliminated from any chance of winning the pool, when Memphis won. (He had picked already-eliminated Pitt, and needed Michigan State to upset Memphis in the Panthers' stead in order to keep his hopes alive.)

Complete scenario information can be found here, sorted by statistical chances of winning. Complete standings are here and after the jump. Also after the jump, information on who'll be eliminated tomorrow, depending on how the North Carolina-Louisville and UCLA-Xavier games turn out.

After Saturday's games, there will be just 32 scenarios left for how the tournament could go. Here are the lists of contestants who will still be alive, and the numbers of those 32 scenarios they'd win, for each of tomorrow's possible combinations:

If UCLA, UNC win:

TWELVE STILL ALIVE: Ryan Morgan (6), Mark Gardner (5), Joseph Hiegel (3), Chris Mulvey (3), Keith Evans (3), Lisa Velte (2), Chuck Wessell (2), Alex Whitfield (2), Shari Long (2), Steve Hartranft (2), Amy Greca (2), Robert Dokes (1)

(Eliminated: Dan Port, Eric Soskin, Danny Pilz, Nick Surmacz, Matt Thomsen, Gary Atkinson, Denise Reidy, Jackie Wilson, Chris Drewry)

If UCLA, Louisville win:

ELEVEN STILL ALIVE: Ryan Morgan (8), Eric Soskin (5), Danny Pilz (5), Alex Whitfield (4), Amy Greca (4), Chris Mulvey (3), Gary Atkinson (2), Nick Surmacz (2), Mark Gardner (1), Jackie Wilson (1), Robert Dokes (1)

(Eliminated: Dan Port, Joseph Hiegel, Shari Long, Keith Evans, Lisa Velte, Chuck Wessell, Steve Hartranft, Matt Thomsen, Denise Reidy, Chris Drewry)

If Xavier, UNC win:

NINE STILL ALIVE: Dan Port (9), Ryan Morgan (8), Mark Gardner (5), Joseph Hiegel (4), Shari Long (2), Chris Drewry (1), Chris Mulvey (1), Matt Thomsen (1), Denise Reidy (1)

(Eliminated: Eric Soskin, Alex Whitfield, Amy Greca, Danny Pilz, Keith Evans, Lisa Velte, Chuck Wessell, Nick Surmacz, Steve Hartranft, Gary Atkinson, Robert Dokes, Jackie Wilson)

If Xavier, Louisville win:

FOUR STILL ALIVE: Dan Port (17), Ryan Morgan (12), Eric Soskin (2), Matt Thomsen (1)

(Eliminated: Mark Gardner, Joseph Hiegel, Chris Mulvey, Alex Whitfield, Amy Greca, Danny Pilz, Shari Long, Keith Evans, Lisa Velte, Chuck Wessell, Nick Surmacz, Steve Hartranft, Gary Atkinson, Robert Dokes, Denise Reidy, Jackie Wilson, Chris Drewry<)


CURRENT STANDINGS
13th annual men's NCAA pool presented by the UCLA Bruins

1. Ryan Morgan - 271
2. Mark Gardner - 269
2. Dan Port - 269
4. Alex Whitfield - 267
4. Khalil Aboukhaled - 267
6. Joseph Hiegel - 265
7. Danielle Thomsen - 264
7. Chuck Wessell - 264
9. Lisa Velte - 259
10. Jason Rogers - 257
10. Robert Dokes - 257
10. Danny Pilz - 257
13. Jeff Morrison - 255
13. Keith Evans - 255
13. Ken Inadomi - 255
13. Nathan Evangelista - 255
17. Matthew Thomsen - 254
17. Kevin Hauschulz - 254
17. Gary Atkinson - 254
20. Steve Hartranft - 252
20. Shari Long - 252
20. Conor Sullivan - 252
20. Chris Mulvey - 252
20. Jeff Belisle - 252
20. Ernesto Lopez - 252
20. Amy Greca - 252
27. Joe Swiderski - 250
27. Weston Cross - 250
27. Eric Soskin - 250
30. Bill Reece - 249
30. Justin Vale - 249
30. Russell Caplin - 249
33. Jennifer Elam - 248
33. Ryan McBride - 248
33. Mike Deeds - 248
33. Jeffrey Ferguson - 248
37. Scott Robertson - 247
37. Amir Sadaghiani - 247
37. James Devine - 247
37. Nick Surmacz - 247
37. Liz Janelle - 247
37. Dave Whelan - 247
37. Jeff Dickens - 247
--. *ALL FAVORITES BRACKET* - 247
44. Rick Boeckler - 245
44. Matt Scarborough - 245
44. Logan Pugh - 245
44. Jay Eysol - 245
44. Christopher Drewry - 245
49. Bridget Saviola - 244
49. Dean Thornton - 244
51. Ben Eng - 243
51. Matt Kagan - 243
53. Rachel Wetherill - 242
53. Kevin Pilz - 242
53. Jeff Vaca - 242
53. Tyler Condon - 242
57. Tony Gjolaj - 240
57. Drew Smith - 240
57. Derek McDonald - 240
57. Jackie Wilson - 240
57. Joe Resper - 240
57. Gary Kirby - 240
57. Tom Caputi - 240
57. Jeremy Gist - 240
65. Denise Reidy - 239
66. Jeremy Kwock - 238
66. Charles Susano - 238
66. Abby Smagula - 238
66. Dave Martins - 238
66. Ryan Dalidowitz - 238
71. Jeff Cultrera - 237
71. Andrew Hunter - 237
71. Larry Caplin - 237
74. Lauren Taylor - 236
75. Jay Johnson - 235
75. Kay Torg - 235
75. Andrew Long - 235
75. Ken Stern - 235
75. Brian Rogers - 235
75. Joshua Carpenter - 235
--. *AGGREGATE PICKS BRACKET* - 235
81. Jeff Freeze - 233
81. Dan Dinunzio - 233
81. Scott Paine - 233
81. Cam McLachlan - 233
81. Brian Dupuis - 233
81. Brian Neudorff - 233
87. David Mathues - 232
87. John Chung - 232
87. Chai Park - 232
90. Rick Garnett - 231
91. Patrick Cullen - 230
91. Emily Wood - 230
91. Marlene Saviola - 230
91. Dennis Chow - 230
91. Jon Schoenwetter - 230
91. Ginny Zak - 230
91. Ted Zak - 230
91. Kelly Strutz - 230
91. Joshua Krause - 230
91. Johanna Cummings - 230
101. Ken Wagner - 229
102. Chris Aemisegger - 228
102. Lauren Moy-Kim - 228
102. Willie Wheaten - 228
102. Gordon Strickland - 228
102. Jon Benski - 228
102. Akash Patel - 228
102. Mike Marchand - 228
109. Kristy McCray - 227
109. Soren Hammerschmidt - 227
109. Jay Schwartz - 227
109. Scott Loomer - 227
113. Esteban Coca - 226
113. Greg Plank - 226
113. Joel Thrift - 226
113. Sharon Lee - 226
113. Greg Shtraks - 226
113. Gerry deSimas - 226
113. Jake Burke - 226
120. Paul Lucht - 225
120. Peter Timbrell - 225
120. Colin Son - 225
120. Tom Greca - 225
120. Steve Leys - 225
120. Joe McDade - 225
120. Mark Jordon - 225
120. Dmytro Aponte - 225
120. Trent Kelso - 225
120. Mark Saviola - 225
130. Dave Roberts - 224
131. Keith DeMonstoy - 223
131. James McGinnis - 223
131. Patrick Roach - 223
131. Adam De Guire - 223
131. Michael Tran - 223
131. Jenna Auriemma - 223
137. Leanna Loomer - 222
137. Robin Crocker - 222
139. Michael Hale - 221
139. Cody Groeber - 221
139. Greg Kagan - 221
142. Michael Rosenkrantz - 220
142. Pat Caplin - 220
142. Quvondo Johnson - 220
142. Pat Gonzales - 220
142. Cath Doo - 220
142. Brian Kiolbasa - 220
142. Stephen Copenhaver - 220
142. Sean Sullivan - 220
142. Brian Newbold - 220
151. Duane Homan - 219
151. Brandon Minich - 219
153. Melanie Peralta - 218
153. Katrina Lewonczyk - 218
155. Jim Wall - 217
156. Matt Higgins - 216
156. Nick Genco - 216
156. Barry McGinnis - 216
156. Rachel Luberda - 216
156. Randy Styles - 216
161. Bea Duque Long - 215
162. Kevin Curran - 214
162. Blake Hanson - 214
164. Joey Perucki - 213
164. Kristen Wall - 213
164. Roger Snyder - 213
164. Jessica Fortuna - 213
164. Eric Gobel - 213
164. Steve Koppitsch - 213
164. Marty West - 213
171. Tristin Thomsen - 212
171. Jeff Sklar - 212
173. Colleen Duggan - 211
173. Hannah McLaughlin - 211
173. Jaime Duque - 211
173. Matt Wiser - 211
173. Bill Pancoast - 211
--. *JOHN MCCAIN'S BRACKET* - 211
178. Ian Drayton - 210
178. Crys Dalangin - 210
178. Keith Stefanczyk - 210
--. *BARACK OBAMA'S BRACKET* - 210
181. Michael Walsh - 209
181. Tom Keck - 209
183. Chris Evans - 208
183. Phillip Price - 208
183. Darby Shaw - 208
183. Andrew Hiller - 208
187. Kristin West - 206
187. Carol LaPlante - 206
187. Stacey Dubois - 206
187. Frank Rooney - 206
187. Kristy LaPlante - 206
192. Antonia Namnath - 205
193. F. X. McGahee - 204
194. Rosalie Town - 203
194. Beth Milewski - 203
194. Rob Atherton - 203
194. Bob Lutts - 203
194. Neil Waechter - 203
194. Jim Hu - 203
194. Carolyn Blessing - 203
201. A.J. St. John - 201
201. Brian Nicholson - 201
203. Trisha Neudorff - 199
204. Jessica Cowans - 198
204. Becky Loy - 198
204. Joanna Rubin - 198
207. Jon Caplin - 196
207. Chris Bravo - 196
207. Diane Krause - 196
207. Ian Auzenne - 196
211. Joe Loy - 195
212. Sandy Berman - 194
212. Meredith Steffen - 194
212. Oanh Tran - 194
215. Scott Schmidt - 193
215. Mike Wiser - 193
217. Josh Rubin - 192
217. Don LaPlante - 192
219. Brendan Loy - 191
219. M.T. Swanson - 191
221. Lauren Davis - 189
221. George Heidkamp - 189
221. Benjamin Rumery - 189
224. Shireen Garcia - 186
224. Steve Duvernay - 186
226. Katherine Kirkpatrick - 183
227. Mike Dagen - 181
227. David Kreutz - 181
229. Todd Stigliano - 179
230. Andrew Leyden - 174
230. Neil Rampal - 174
232. Bonnie Stone - 173
233. Susie Ogden - 172
234. Jessica Osborne - 167
234. Courtney Tawresey - 167
236. Yvette Webster - 166
237. Brenden Roche - 165
238. Toby, Sasha and Butter Zak Loy - 162
239. Jen Ham - 159
240. Barbara Cross - 143
241. Loyette Loy - 134

Comments

[JD]

If only I had picked Louisville over Tennessee.