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I'm Brendan Loy, a 26-year-old graduate of USC and Notre Dame now living and working in Knoxville, Tennessee. My wife Becky and I are brand-new parents of a beautiful baby girl, born on New Year's Eve.

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« Hillary "exceeding expectations" in unweighted exit-poll "first wave" | Main | YEARRRRHH!!! Obama takes Vermont »

Exit-poll "second wave" more Obama-friendly: TX, OH, RI deadlocked?

Contrary to earlier reports showing Hillary Clinton "exceeding expectations," the latest exit-poll data -- the so-called "second wave" -- shows Texas, Ohio, and Rhode Island all looking like dead heats, "the latter two of which would be pretty substantial surprises," in a good way, from Obama's perspective. Specifically, according to Jim Geraghty:

This is interesting. One of my sources has gotten two sets of exit poll results. It's unclear whether this is different pollsters or, I suspect, different times of day.

For the first set, Obama is up by 2 percent in Ohio, Hillary is up by 2 percent in Texas, Hillary is up by 3 percent in Rhode Island and Obama is up by a 2 to 1 margin in Vermont.

The second set is similarly close - Hillary up by 2 percent in Ohio, the two Democrats tied in Texas, Obama ahead by 2 percent in Rhode Island and a similar 2 to 1 margin in Vermont.

Meanwhile, Right Pundits says, "CLINTON INTERNALS FOR OHIO . . . Clinton 49 Obama 46, Clinton expects to gain about 8 delegates overall."

Sounds like we won't be hearing any early media "calls," except for Vermont, tonight.

P.S. More numbers here: VT - Obama 67-33; OH - Obama 51-49; TX - Obama 51-49; RI - tied 49-49.

Also here: the same as above, except 50-49 Obama in TX.

On the other hand, Matthew Yslesias is "hearing big Hispanic turnout in Texas (good for Clinton) and a huge Clinton edge among late-deciders (obviously good for Clinton)."

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