Does anyone want to go dancing?
By Brendan Loy
This is unbelievable. Fans of South Alabama, Illinois State and VCU ought to be jumping for joy, because today has been an absolute disaster for the bubble teams still in action. Almost nobody is playing their way in, and a lot of teams are playing their way out. If there is ever going to be a year when four low- or mid-majors (i.e., the three above-mentioned teams plus St. Mary's) can all reach the Big Dance despite disappointing conference tournament finishes, this is that year.
The list of bubble teams that have lost today now includes Oregon, UMass and -- in humiliating fashion -- Florida, in addition to the ones I've mentioned previously: Dayton, Villanova, UAB, Houston, and Arizona State... plus Baylor, which wasn't even a bubble team this morning, according to Joe Lunardi, but may be one now. (On the other hand, maybe not; who's going to take their place?)
The only bubble teams that have won today are Miami (which was at the very top of the bubble, per Lunardi, and presumably can now be considered a lock), Florida State and Temple (both of whom were at the very bottom of the bubble, but may have a realistic shot in this crazy environment), UNLV (barely!) and St. Joseph's.
Bubble teams with unfinished games tonight: Texas A&M (winning), Arizona (hasn't tipped off yet), New Mexico (hasn't tipped off yet), Mississippi (losing) and Maryland (losing).
Bubble teams who start their conference tournaments tomorrow: Arkansas, Ohio State, Virginia Tech.
What a crazy day of basketball this has been.
UPDATE: Of the five "unfinished" teams mentioned above, only Texas A&M won. Arizona, New Mexico, Mississippi and Maryland all lost! Unreal!
This reminds me a bit of a really compressed version of the last few weeks of college football season, when all one BCS contender after another kept losing, thus opening the door for teams who thought they'd been definitively eliminated from the championship picture. Remember when Illinois "crushed" Ohio State's title hopes, and when Arkansas "knocked out" LSU from any possibility of reaching the title game? Well, yesterday's bubble "eliminations" are similarly suspect, thanks to all the other losses. Arizona State, Villanova, UMass, etc. -- you may yet get in. After all, somebody's gotta! They aren't going to shrink the tournament to 60 teams just because no one seems to want the final few spots.





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