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I'm Brendan Loy, a 26-year-old graduate of USC and Notre Dame now living and working in Knoxville, Tennessee. My wife Becky and I are brand-new parents of a beautiful baby girl, born on New Year's Eve.

I'm a big-time sports fan, a politics, media & law junkie, an astronomy buff, a weather nerd, an Apple aficionado, a Lord of the Rings and Harry Potter fanatic, and an all-around dork. My blog is best-known for its coverage of Hurricane Katrina, but I blog about anything and everything that interests me.

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Pajamas Media BlogRoll Member

« Mitt wins Maine; McCain, Paul vie for 2nd | Main | Man-crush 101 »

Has Pat Summitt endorsed?

There will be an Obama rally outside Thompson-Boling Arena prior to tomorrow's Lady Vols game. Is nothing sacred? ;)

Speaking of Obama, TNR's Noam Scheiber makes an excellent point, one I hadn't thought of but wish I had, about how the post-Super Tuesday calendar favors Obama:

There's not a day on the primary calendar between Tuesday and the convention that has more than four contests scheduled. ... Obama tends to do better the more time he can focus on a specific state, [so] I see this slightly benefiting him.

I see it significantly benefiting him. The question, as Scheiber says, is whether Obama can "survive" Tuesday's mega-primary, the very nature of which doesn't suit his strengths. "Obama isn't playing for a win on Tuesday," he says, but rather "something that approximates a stalemate." Scheiber elaborates -- answering my question from yesterday -- that "I'd say that means carrying 8-10 states and 45 percent of the delegates up for grabs." Sounds about right to me, though I think 6 or 7 states might be enough, depending on which states they are. In any event, the perceptions game is very important in this regard. Obama doesn't need to "win" Super Tuesday, but he needs to do well enough to convince the media, and through them voters in later states -- and, especially, superdelegates -- that he's a viable candidate going forward, not just a one-hit wonder on the verge of flaming out.

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