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About me


I'm Brendan Loy, a 26-year-old graduate of USC and Notre Dame now living and working in Knoxville, Tennessee. My wife Becky and I are brand-new parents of a beautiful baby girl, born on New Year's Eve.

I'm a big-time sports fan, a politics, media & law junkie, an astronomy buff, a weather nerd, an Apple aficionado, a Lord of the Rings and Harry Potter fanatic, and an all-around dork. My blog is best-known for its coverage of Hurricane Katrina, but I blog about anything and everything that interests me.

You can contact me at irishtrojan [at] gmail.com, or donate to my "tip jar" by clicking the link below:

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Baby pool!

As loyal readers of the Irish Trojan, we know that he is soon to become a daddy.  In fact, mommy-to-be Becky officially starts her third trimester today!  So, in the spirit of the Brendansphere, it's only reasonable that we have some sort of contest. (And yes, I have permission of the mommy- and daddy-to-be to do this!)

Here's how it will work.  Submit, in comments on this post, your guess for when Becky will have the baby.  (Remember, she's due on New Year's Eve.)  The winner will be selected based on whomever is closest to the exact day, hour, and minute.  If there is a tie, the tiebreaking categories will be weight and length of the little one (weight is the first tiebreaker, length is the second tiebreaker).

In other words, just submit your guesses like this:

Date:
Time: (hour & minute)*
Weight: (in pounds)
Length: (in inches)

*Please note: "Time" is based on wherever Becky is when she has the baby--the local time of the city that the kid is born in.  You pick the time, the mommy (or the baby) chooses the time zone.

Please include a name or at least a pseudonym, so we know whom to congratulate once the baby is born ... other than the parents, that is.

Naturally, if we're going to have a contest, it's only right that we give the winner something.  Therefore the winner will get the exact same amount that s/he would get from any other pool on this website: bragging rights. :-)

Good luck!

PS: This post is for well-wishers only.  If you have something else to say, or perhaps something negative to say about the baby, your post will be deleted and you will be removed from the site.  This is your first, last, and only warning.

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Date:12/28/2007
Time: (6:33 PM)
Weight: (7 Lbs 3 Oz)
Length: (17.2)

Date: 12/26/07
Time: 9:22 AM
Weight: 9 lbs 4 oz
Length: 22.3 inches

I'll take Christmas eve-- 24 December 2007 -- At 8:16 (GMT) in the morning. Seven and one half pounds. At a size of 20 inches.

12/28/2007
8:11 AM
Weight: 8lbs 3oz
Length 19.6 in

Addendum, i believe the 28th is their anniversary, however if i am wrong and its the 29th or 30th, thats the day I choose.

Dane makes a good point with his "GMT" reference. Josh, shall we assume that all entries are Eastern time (it'll be EST by then, rather than EDT) unless otherwise specified? After all, unless something very unexpected happens, the baby will be born in the Eastern Time Zone. :)

David, it's the 30th, so we will consider your entry so modified. :)

12/30/2007
Time 7:22 AM
Weight: 7lbs. 10oz
Length: 22.5 inches

1/3/09
Time: 8:25am
Weight: 8 pounds, 4 ounces
Length: 23.5 inches

We'll make the "time" be whatever it says on the Birth Certificate (i.e. Local Time). In other words, if Becky happens to be in Phoenix, it will be on Phoenix time, but if she's in Nashville, it will be Nashville time.

I do this because even though I'm sure Becky knows where she *wants* to be when the baby comes, the baby might have other ideas. And I don't want any arguments of "Well, it's 8:16 AM here, but not there."

I will change the main post accordingly.

As soon as I read Dane's post, my head started to hurt. Dane, unless you want to change your answer, I'm putting you down as having claimed 8:16 AM

I'm not going to temp fate with a trite prediction contest. I hope the baby is healthy, and mom comes through the pregnancy in good health.

Good luck.

Oh, I almost forgot to make my guess.

12/31/07
11:59 PM
9 lbs, 7 oz
20.3 in.

1/1/08
2:30 pm
7 lbs, 6 oz
20 in

1/1/08
2:30 pm
7 lbs, 6 oz
20 in

1/13/07; 10 AM; 15 lbs. 4 oz; 21 in.

I meant '08!

12/30/08
9:25 pm
7 lbs 6 oz
20 3/4" long

Date: January 2, 2008
Time: (hour & minute)*7:10 AM
Weight: (in pounds)8 lbs
Length: (in inches)3 oz.

(Uncle Rick)

1/3/08 (Sorry Becky), 2:55pm, 7lbs 6oz, 20.5inches

12/30/08

That's a LOOOOOONG pregnancy! :)

Date: December 29, 2007
Time: 3:25 PM
Weight: 7 lbs 4oz
Length: 18in

Oops- that was me :)

Date: December 29, 2007
Time: 3:25 PM
Weight: 7 lbs 4oz
Length: 18in

Date: Febutober the Eleventeenth
Time: 25:18 PM
Weight: 16 Stone
Length: A country mile

Date: January 4, 2008
Time: 9:56 am
Weight: 8lbs 2oz
Length: 18.3 in


01/12/2008 - Jan 12
7:00 AM
Weight: 8lbs 2oz
Length 21.5 in

Some hair ... no teeth ...

(grin)

So where is the pool for when the first Braxton-Hicks contractions start ?

And the pool for when Brendan feels *his* first labo(u)r pains ?

12/29/07
Time: 4:53 P.M.
Weight: 7lbs 6oz
Length: 19.1 inches

My prediction is based on events that are calibrated off of GMT and certain other assumptions based on other averages. Therefore, for the purposes of my prediction I shall assume the baby will actually be borne EST. The necessary adjustment to 08:16 GMT 24 December 2007 would be 3:16 AM 24 December 2007.

Date: January 5, 2008
Time: 2:42 pm
Weight: 8 pounds, 9 ounces
Length: 21 inches long

Brendan... do you really think it's fair for you to enter this pool? :) You're already getting the baby, do you HAVE to have the bragging rights as well?!? ::tisk, tisk::

My guess:

Date: 12/27/07
Time: 6:32 AM
Weight: 9 lbs 8 oz
Length: 21.7 inches

:)


Date: December 25
Time: 7:38 a.m.
Weight: 8 lbs, 2 oz.
Length: 21.6 in.

Jan 5
Time: 3:00 PM
Weight: 8 lb 9 oz
Length: 20 inches

Birth Date and Time: January 6, 2008 (12:01 AM)

Length: 19 inches

Weight: 7 lbs, 12 oz

Date: January 1, 2008
Time: 7:16 pm
Weight: 8 lbs, 6 oz
Length: 20.5 inches

Brendan says:
Date: 12/26/07
Time: 9:22 AM
Weight: 9 lbs 4 oz
Length: 22.3 inches

Dude. You better hope that you're wrong or you're going to have one long 3rd trimester with Becky carrying that baby / weight around!!!!

I'm going on the *late* side of things.

Date: 1/4/2008
Time: 1:04 AM
Weight: 7 lbs 4 ounces
Length: 21.5 inches

Date: 12/25/07
Time: 4:04 AM
Weight: 6 lbs, 7 oz
Length: 19 inches

Dane, it's been changed.

01/05/08
4:20 AM
7 pounds 12 ounces
19.7 inches

12/25/07
9:20PM
8lbs,10oz
21 inches long

1/3/2008
Time 7:21 AM
Weight: 7lbs. 8oz
Length: 20.25 inches

Helpful hint to guessers, I've almost never seen a baby's "official length" not be in 1/2 inch increments, maybe 1/4 on rare occasions.

Although I can see Brendan in there getting the official measurement in 32nds of an inch. :P

06028-6

1/4/08
6:23AM
8lbs 2oz
21.5"

12/27/07
3:07 AM
7lb 9oz
21 in.

1/2/08
2:50 PM
8 lbs
21.2 in.

Since this is a friends-and-family kind of pool, I have no guess, but I did see this slice of geekdom for sale and thought I'd suggest it if anyone out there still needs a baby gift for Brendan...

Congratulations! Get ready to watch Headline News and SportsCenter reruns at 4 a.m. while Becky gets some well-deserved rest.

1/4/08
2:07 AM
8 lbs, 7 ozs
19 inches

01/02/08
2:45pm
8lbs 2oz
21 inches

Good luck Becky, Brendan and Baby Loy!!!

1/5/08
4:18 pm
8lbs 4oz
21.5 inches

JO,

I don't think an extra pound or two for the baby is really going to push Becky over the edge and make her uncomfortable and impair mobility. Most women put on 15 pounds or so. Assuming she doesn't eat poorly, and she exercises, I would imagine she will put on about the same. If she doesn't exercise, and gorges herself, then yes, she will put 25-30 lbs and will have difficulty.

Discipline, Becky! You can do it! Good luck to you and Brendan.

Oct 9, 7:53pm, HAHAHAHA! The "average" woman puts on between 25 and 35 pounds during pregnancy. Kate Hudson put on 70. Nearly all of the women I've chatted with (and oh my gosh, preggos come out of the woodwork to chat once the belly pops) put on between 30 and 50 pounds. I only know two people who gained less than 20 pounds. One was a 5 foot tall vegan and the other entirely lost her appetite while preggers.

I think the worst thing a preggo can do is freak out about her weight gain and try to diet while pregnant. I mean, pregnancy isn't a liscense to sit around and eat potato chips all day, but it's also normal to gain weight and it's equally normal to lose that weight with some concerted effort once the baby is born.

Becky,

Obviously each person is different, and different bodies react differently.

See this info from www.babycenter.com

"How much weight should I gain during my pregnancy?
It depends on your height and weight, or body mass index (BMI), before you conceived. You can calculate your BMI here.

If pre-pregnancy weight was in the healthy range for your height according to your healthcare provider (a BMI of 18.5 to 24.9), you should gain between 25 and 35 pounds, gaining 2 to 5 pounds in the first trimester and about 1 pound per week for the rest of your pregnancy for the optimal growth of your baby.

If you were underweight for your height at conception (a BMI below 18.5), you should gain 28 to 40 pounds. If you were overweight for your height (a BMI of 25 to 29.9), you should gain 15 to 25 pounds. If you were obese (a BMI of 30 or higher), you should gain no more than 15 pounds. If you're having twins you should gain about 35 to 45 pounds. If you fall into any of these four categories, talk to your healthcare provider about how much you should gain each month."

Based on this, I don't think Kate Hudson's weight gain is germane to the topic at hand (ie - whether a large baby will make you gain a lot of weight and be immobile). Kate came into her pregnancy well underweight, so it's natural to assume she would gain a lot.

Based on this info, I assumed you would gain about 15 lbs. during pregnancy, and thus, you would (hopefully) not be impaired by a 9 lb. baby, as JO speculated.

I'm rooting for a big healthy baby. Good luck. You must be so excited!

Did this anonymous poster just say that Becky is obese since according to them Becky isn't supposed to gain more than about 15 pounds???? Ok maybe it's just me but I'm offended. Who the F*** cares how much someone gains as long as it's healthy and you feel good and the baby is doing good. I know the general rule is around 25 to 30 pounds but aren't we all unique?? I have had 4 kids. The first one I gained 65, the second 22, the third about 35 I think and the last one only 16 pounds. So there's a range for you. Good luck Becky. If it comes off or it doesn't right after, like I said who the F*** cares but you! LOL


Perhaps a more relevant question is how much Brendan will gain in sympathy with Becky ?

01/02/08
3:32PM
7LBS 15OZ
20 INCHES

I TRIED NOT TO GO TO FAR FROM THE DATE GOOD LUCK.!!

1/7/08
9:25AM
9 LBS 10OZ
21 Inches

Thanks Megan! I appreciate your offense. :)

No problem Becky! ;-)

1/6/08
6:37 pm
6lbs 9 ounces
19.5 inches

So since Becky has multiple Masters Degrees, can she just give one to Avocado Loy, seeing as though she can't possibly use them all?

12/21/07
1:49 PM
6lbs 3ounces
19.2 inches

1/4/08
2:46 AM
8lbs 6 ounces
23 inches

7 Jan 08
0435
7lbs 12 oz
19.5 inches

Good luck to you to and the new baby blogger

My guess:
7 lbs 13 oz
jan 2 2008
3:16 am
18 inches long

6 lbs. 8 oz.
Jan. 4, 2008
2:43 am
19 in long.

8 lbs. 3 oz.
Dec. 28, 2007
6:05 pm
19 1/2 in long.

Dec.29th
6:30 a.m.
9 lbs 2 oz.
21 inches long
booties size 2

I didn't index all the above predictions. In case someone has all the same numbers as these and we're both right, I put in the size of the booties as a tie-breaker.

Love to the three of you from one of the grandmothers :)

Date: 12/27
Time: 3:35 am
Weight: 3305 grams
Length: 50.5 cm

Sorry, Brendan, I'm bucking the trend and giving the metric height/weight.

Congrats to you both!!

Part of me wants to invalidate Bryan's entry on principle.

WE DON'T LIKE METRICS. THAT MAKES ME HAVE TO THINK!!

Besides, the official height/weight will be given in inches/pounds anyway.

My daughter's due date was the same, so I'll guess the date she came...

Dec. 28
4:29 p.m.
7 lbs 8 oz
21 inches

I hope all goes well!!

Josh, I think you e-mailed me something a while back about cutting off entries at some point. Let's say the end of the day November 30 is the deadline (that may even have been your very suggestion, I forget), so from December 1 on, the pool will be closed to new entries.

Of course, in the unlikely event Becky goes into labor before December 1 (technically, now that she's 34 weeks, the odds are quite good that the baby would be fine if delivered now), any entries received after she went into labor will not count. Wouldn't want to condone any insider trading. :)

Well, I'd better make sure, then, that I get my bet in there, no? Here goes:

Date: 01/03/08
Time: 8:24pm
Weight: 9 lbs 2 oz
Length: 20.3 in

For the record, I just realized my entry says 09. I obviously mean 08. So, to recopy from above to make life easier for whoever's tallying things:

1/3/08
Time: 8:25am
Weight: 8 pounds, 4 ounces
Length: 23.5 inches

12/28/07
time: 12:55am
Weight: 7 pounds, 6 ounces
lenght: 22.5 inches.

Thanks, Mike. I kinda had figured that ;-) I had recorded it as '08. Unless, of course, Becky were an elephant (elephants carry their calfs for about 22 months before birth).

Date: 12/29/07
Time: 3.31am
Weight: 7 lb. 5 oz.
Length: 20.8"

Date: 1/3/2008
Time: 9:46 p.m.
Weight: 7 lb., 11 oz.
Length: 21 inches.

Date: 1/13/08
Time: 3:15 pm
Weight: 8lb.10oz.
Length: 22 in.

Date: 12/30/07
Time: 2:57AM
Weight: 8 pounds, 3 ounces
Length: 22 inches
Hair: Red
Eyes: Blue

Date Jan 1st
Time 12:11 am
Weight 7 lb 13 oz
Length 22 in

Date: December 19
Time: 2:32 AM

And the room has a GREAT view.
Becky’s roommate is Katherine and she just had a daughter Suzanne.

1/1/08
2:17 PM PST (Rose Bowl Kickoff!)
21 in.
7 lbs.

As in... USC 21 Ohio State 7

Date: Dec. 30
Time: 10:04 p.m. local time
Weight: 8 lbs. 2 oz.
Length: 21 inches
Vegas line: Baby's length in inches greater than or equal to USC's points in Rose Bowl

Date: 01/05/2008
Time: 0230 EST
Weight: 8 lbs 1 oz
Length: 20.5 inches

1/3/08
1530 hrs (330 pm)
8 lbs, 3 oz
22 inches

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