By Brendan Loy
If the Vegas oddsmakers to be believed, the biggest upset in college-football history was not the Michigan-Appalachian State game three weeks ago; it was the Louisville-Syracuse game this past Saturday! The Orange was a 37-point underdog to the Cardinals -- one point more than the 36-point spread in the 1985 Oregon State-over-Washington stunner that is generally regarded by gambling types as the biggest upset ever.
Appy State, by contrast, was "only a 22-23 point underdog, depending on who you listen to," according to Brian Cook. I'm not sure where he's getting those numbers, since there is generally no "official" point spread on games between I-A and I-AA teams. But this article says Jeff Sagarin had Michigan as a 25-point favorite. So whatever the exact spread (or would-be spread), I think it's fair to say it was (or would have been) less than 37.
And rightfully so, I'd argue. For all the histrionics, here and elsewhere, about the Appy State upset ("This is frogs raining from heaven. This is physically impossible"), the Mountaineers are a good team that just happens to play in a lower division; they would probably finish in the middle of the pack in the Big Ten, and they might win the ACC Coastal Division. Okay, maybe not, but you take my point: whether you call them I-A or I-AA, "Bowl Subdivision" or "Championship Subdivision," the reality is that Appalachian State is better than Syracuse.
None of which, of course, changes the fact that Michigan lost to Appalachian State. HAHAHAHAHA. (Pay no attention to the 38-0 drubbing of Notre Dame behind the curtain!)
Anyway, the broader question this brings to my mind is: how many more milestone games can college football possibly give us? The last three seasons have been a veritable goldmine! We've seen the biggest upset ever by point spread (Syracuse over Louisville, 2007), the first-ever Div. I-AA win over a ranked Div. I-A team (Appalachian State over #5 Michigan, 2007), the most consequential and utterly thrilling David-over-Goliath upset in bowl history (Boise State over Oklahoma, Fiesta Bowl, 2007), the biggest comeback in history (Michigan State over Northwestern, 2006), the biggest comeback in bowl history (Texas Tech over Minnesota, Insight Bowl, 2006), arguably the greatest championship game ever played (Texas over USC, 2006), and arguably the greatest game ever played, at least until the Boise-Oklahoma game (USC over Notre Dame, 2005) on arguably the greatest day in college-football history (October 15, 2005). It's really getting a little excessive at this point. Can college football possibly keep up this insane level of excitement? Or are we in for a few boring years ahead, as karmic retribution?
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